Matteo Arnaldi vs Yannick Hanfmann Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Yannick Hanfmann has a slight edge in second serve points won, securing 48.73% compared to Matteo Arnaldi's 48.11% over the last 6 months. Could this be the tipping point in their upcoming match?
• Return Game Stats: Arnaldi has been more effective in return games, winning 44.06% of his opponents' second serve points, against Hanfmann’s 40.87%. Additionally, Arnaldi also leads in first serve return points won, with 26.23% compared to Hanfmann’s 23.75%.
• Pressure Management: Under pressure, Arnaldi has been slightly better, saving 59.21% of breakpoints, while Hanfmann has saved 55.62%. This could play a crucial role in deciding tight moments.
• Overall Performance: Over the last year, Hanfmann boasts a higher match win rate of 59.38%, whereas Arnaldi’s is lower at 44.44%. Which factor will prevail – consistency or skill under pressure?
• Preferred Surface: Both players excel on clay, boasting a 63% win rate. However, Hanfmann struggles on grass, while Arnaldi shows his weakness on indoor hard courts. Could the surface type impact the match outcome?
• Tour Level: Hanfmann has performed slightly better on the Main tour, winning 55.17% of his matches compared to Arnaldi’s 45.45%.
• Opponent Quality: Arnaldi has faced tougher competition, battling opponents with an average ranking of 58.38, while Hanfmann's average opponent rank is 223.95. How will this experience translate in the upcoming match?
• Deciding Sets: Hanfmann exhibits prowess in deciding sets, with a 58% win rate, whereas Arnaldi secures 47% victory in similar conditions. Could this be decisive in a tightly contested match?
• Current Event Performance: To refine predictions, it's important to monitor their performance in the current tournament. This aspect remains crucial in predicting match outcomes.

Editorial Prediction (October 15, 2025, UTC):

As we look forward to the upcoming match, it's the minor differences in their performance that could dictate the outcome. Yannick Hanfmann displays a slight edge in winning second serve points, although Matteo Arnaldi's superior return game stats could counterbalance this advantage.

Despite Hanfmann's overall higher match win rate over the past year and his ability to prevail in deciding sets, Arnaldi's knack for overcoming better-ranked opponents and managing breakpoints efficiently cannot be overlooked.

The surface type is equally favorable for both players, steering the focus to their mental composure and tactical execution. Given these statistics, while Hanfmann holds a modest edge, Arnaldi's resilience against more formidable competitors positions him as a formidable rival.

Ultimately, considering the various elements at play, Yannick Hanfmann is slightly favored to win, owing to his consistency and proficiency in decisive moments.